Saturday, December 19, 2020
Allegations of Obama spying on Trump
Allegations of Obama spying on Trump are part of a conspiracy theory posted by President Donald Trump, which he described as “the biggest political crime in American history, by far.” The series of unfounded accusations have been nicknamed Obamagate. During key points of the 2020 campaign, including the Republican National Convention and both presidential debates, Trump frequently repeated this theory, claiming "they spied on my campaign" in reference to these accusations. The specific allegations of inappropriate politically motivated surveillance or "spying" all involve the Federal Bureau of Investigation's Crossfire Hurricane investigation of the Trump campaign and transition and their ties to Russia. Allegations have been raised that Crossfire Hurricane was at the direction of Obama administration officials and deep state influence, improperly used the Steele dossier and was designed to surveil the Trump campaign and Trump White House transition team for political purposes. Specific actions undertaken by the FBI that have been highlighted include the use of an informant who had met with Trump advisors Sam Clovis, George Papadopoulos and Carter Page and obtaining a FISA warrant to legally surveil Carter Page. Allegations of improper "spying" were debunked by the Inspector General report on the Crossfire Hurricane investigation. Trump has claimed that as part of Crossfire Hurricane, his campaign's phones at Trump Tower were wiretapped. This was refuted by Trump's own justice department. In addition, Trump has claimed that conversations of his advisor Michael Flynn with Russian ambassador Sergey Kislyak recorded as part of Crossfire Hurricane were improperly "unmasked." This too has been rejected by the Trump justice department. A U.S. Justice Department investigation based on these accusations, led by U.S. Attorney John Durham, has led to no convictions for spying.
Background: According to the results of a U.S. Senate investigation, the government of Russia directly and through intermediaries sought influence within 2016 U.S. presidential election candidate Donald Trump's political campaigns and also to sow discord within American society. Thus, actions taken by the then-current Obama Administration in its investigations into these alleged Russian influences provide the bases for claims that it spied on Trump.
Conspiracy theory elements:
-FBI's Crossfire Hurricane investigation
-Russia investigation origins counter-narrative
-Robert Mueller's Special Counsel investigation
-Trump Tower wiretapping allegations
-Spygate (conspiracy theory)
-Deep state in the United States
-Steele dossier, written by former Mi6 Agent Christopher Steele
-Inspector General report on the Crossfire Hurricane investigation
-Unmasking by U.S. intelligence agencies
-United States v. Flynn
Trump campaign figures allegedly spied upon
-Sam Clovis, national co-chair
-Carter Page, foreign policy advisor
-George Papadopoulos, foreign policy advisor
-Michael Flynn, campaign advisor and future National Security Advisor
Obama administration figures allegedly involved:
-John Brennan, Director of the Central Intelligence Agency
-James Clapper, Director of National Intelligence
-James Comey, Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation
-Stefan Halper, FBI Informant
-Susan Rice, National Security Advisor
-Peter Strzok, FBI Counterintelligence Division
-Sally Yates, United States Deputy Attorney General
Investigations launched:
-Trump administration officials or its allies involved
-William Barr, United States Attorney General
-Doug Collins, former Ranking Member of the United States House Committee on the Judiciary
-John Durham, United States Attorney
-Lindsey Graham, Chairman of the United States Senate Committee on the Judiciary
-Michael E. Horowitz, United States Department of Justice Office of the Inspector General
-Ron Johnson, Chairman of the United States Senate Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs
-Jim Jordan, Ranking Member of the United States House Committee on the Judiciary
-Devin Nunes, Ranking Member of the United States House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence, via the Nunes memo
Timeline-
May 2020: Trump allegations: On May 10, 2020—one day after former president Barack Obama criticized the Trump administration's handling of the COVID-19 pandemic—Trump posted a one-word tweet: "OBAMAGATE!" On May 11, Philip Rucker of The Washington Post asked Trump what crime former president Barack Obama committed. Trump's reply was: "Obamagate. It's been going on for a long time ... from before I even got elected and it's a disgrace that it happened.... Some terrible things happened and it should never be allowed to happen in our country again." When Rucker again asked what the crime was, Trump said: "You know what the crime is. The crime is very obvious to everybody. All you have to do is read the newspapers, except yours." On May 15, Trump tweeted that Obamagate was the "greatest political scandal in the history of the United States". This was the third time Trump claimed to be suffering from a scandal of such magnitude, after previously giving Spygate and the Russia investigation similar labels. Also on May 15, Trump linked Obamagate to the "persecution" of Michael Flynn, and a missing 302 form. Trump called for Congress to summon Obama to testify about "the biggest political crime". Senator Lindsey Graham, chair of the Senate Judiciary Committee, said that he did not expect to summon Obama, but would summon other Obama administration officials. Meanwhile, Attorney General William Barr stated that he did not "expect" Obama to be investigated of a crime. Some of Trump's allies have suggested that the "crime" involved the FBI launching an investigation into incoming national security advisor Michael Flynn, or possibly the "unmasking" by outgoing Obama officials to find out the name of a person who was reported in intelligence briefings to be conversing with the Russian ambassador. In a May 2020 op-ed at the news website RealClearPolitics, Charles Lipson, professor emeritus of political science at the University of Chicago analyzed the content of "Obamagate". He claimed that the concept refers to three accusations: (1) The Obama administration conducted mass surveillance through the NSA; (2) the Obama administration used surveillance against Trump's 2016 presidential campaign, and (3) the Obama administration did not transfer power seamlessly to the new Trump administration. Lipson further claimed that "these abuses didn’t simply follow each other; their targets, goals, and principal players overlapped. Taken together, they represent some of the gravest violations of constitutional norms and legal protections in American history". The Associated Press (AP) in May 2020 addressed Obamagate in a fact check, stating that there was "no evidence" of Trump's suggestion that "the disclosure of Flynn's name as part of legal U.S. surveillance of foreign targets was criminal and motivated by partisan politics." AP stated that there is not only "nothing illegal about unmasking," but also that the unmasking of Flynn was approved using the National Security Agency's "standard process." Unmasking is allowed if officials feel that it is needed to understand the collected intelligence. AP further pointed out that the Trump administration was conducting even more unmasking than the Obama administration in the final year of Obama's presidency. In May, attorney general Bill Barr appointed federal prosecutor John Bash to examine unmasking conducted by the Obama administration.
August 2020: Yates testimony: The concept underlies in part a 2020 U.S. Senate investigation into the 2016–onward FBI's Crossfire Hurricane investigation. Former deputy attorney general Sally Yates on August 5, 2020, testified before the Committee that investigators were concerned that the national security adviser to president elect Trump, Michael Flynn, was conversing in private with the Russian ambassador. According to Yates, Obama was interested in whether Flynn ought to be considered a safe recipient for sensitive briefings and Obama "did not in any way attempt to direct or influence any kind of investigation. Something like that would have set off alarms for me." (According to news reports, a belief that Flynn may have violated the Logan Act – a rarely prosecuted and vague law which constrains individuals from countervailing the existing foreign policy of the United States by way of secretive meetings – that supplied the initial rationale for the FBI to target Flynn.)
September 2020: Accusations of political motives: Accusations have been leveled that Senate Republicans are using investigations of "Obamagate" to help provide the Donald Trump 2020 presidential campaign with talking points. In September, Sen. Ron Johnson, Chairman of the Senate Homeland Security Committee, led Republicans on the committee in securing subpoenas to look into Trump's Obamagate claims. Johnson had received criticism for stating "the more that we expose of the corruption of the transition process between Obama and Trump, the more we expose of the corruption within those agencies, I would think it would certainly help Donald Trump win reelection and certainly be pretty good, I would say, evidence about not voting for Vice President Biden".
October 2020: Trump pushes for arrests: With the news that U.S. Attorney John Durham's investigation into potential abuses within the Obama's administration's handling of the FBI's Crossfire Hurricane investigation would not produce a report or indictments before the 2020 presidential election, President Trump began publicly calling on Attorney General Bill Barr to arrest major political figures he believes were involved, including his 2020 opponent Joe Biden. The unmasking inquiry begun in May concluded in October with no findings of substantive wrongdoing.
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